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Отвлекающая война (англ. diversionary war, … Отвлекающая война (англ. diversionary war, diversionary theory of war) в международных отношениях — теория, объясняющая агрессивную внешнюю политику или даже вовлечение в военные действия стремлением «отвлечь» внимание граждан страны от внутренней политической повестки в неблагоприятной для политических лидеров ситуации или улучшить своё политическое положение за счёт эффекта сплочения. Для обозначения внешней политики, объясняющейся сходной мотивацией, используется более широкий термин отвлекающая внешняя политика (англ. diversionary foreign policy). Аналогичная логика стоит за выражением «маленькая победоносная война», используемым для обозначения конфликтов, инициированных для укрепления внутриполитических позиций неустойчивого или слабого правительства за счёт быстрой, не затратной и успешной военной кампании — авторство фразы приписывается российскому министру внутренних дел В. К. Плеве, пытавшемуся обосновать вовлечение страны в войну с Японией необходимостью избежать революции.Японией необходимостью избежать революции.
, A diversionary foreign policy, or a divers … A diversionary foreign policy, or a diversionary war, is an international relations term that identifies a war instigated by a country's leader in order to distract its population from their own domestic strife. The concept stems from the Diversionary War Theory, which states that leaders who are threatened by domestic turmoil may initiate an international conflict in order to improve their standing. There are two primary mechanisms behind diversionary war: a manipulation of the Rally Round the Flag Syndrome effect, causing an increase of national fervor from the general public, and "gambling on resurrection", whereby a leader in a perilous domestic situation takes high-risk foreign policy decisions with small chance of success but with a high reward if successful. Scholars of International Relations have dedicated much research to the practical application of diversionary war. A large percentage investigates Presidents of the United States and their disputed culpability partaking in diversionary foreign policy.Despite the immense amount of effort and research, scholars have not yet formed a consensus of the accuracy of the theory, and empirical evidence is mixed at best., and empirical evidence is mixed at best.
, Uma política externa diversionista, ou uma … Uma política externa diversionista, ou uma guerra diversionista, é um termo de relações internacionais que identifica uma guerra instigada pelo líder de um país para distrair sua população de seus próprios conflitos domésticos. O conceito deriva da Teoria da Guerra Diversionista, que afirma que os líderes ameaçados por turbulências domésticas podem iniciar um conflito internacional para melhorar sua posição. Existem dois mecanismos primários por trás da guerra diversionista: uma manipulação do efeito Rally Round the Flag Syndrome, causando um aumento do fervor nacional por parte do público em geral, e "aposta na ressurreição", em que um líder em uma situação doméstica perigosa toma decisões de política externa de alto risco com pequena chance de sucesso, mas com uma alta recompensa se forem bem-sucedidas. Acadêmicos de Relações Internacionais dedicaram muita pesquisa à aplicação prática da guerra diversionista. Uma grande porcentagem investiga presidentes dos Estados Unidos e sua culpabilidade contestada participando de política externa diversionista. Apesar da imensa quantidade de esforço e pesquisa, os estudiosos ainda não formaram um consenso sobre a precisão da teoria, e as evidências empíricas são, na melhor das hipóteses, mistas.icas são, na melhor das hipóteses, mistas.
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Uma política externa diversionista, ou uma … Uma política externa diversionista, ou uma guerra diversionista, é um termo de relações internacionais que identifica uma guerra instigada pelo líder de um país para distrair sua população de seus próprios conflitos domésticos. O conceito deriva da Teoria da Guerra Diversionista, que afirma que os líderes ameaçados por turbulências domésticas podem iniciar um conflito internacional para melhorar sua posição. Existem dois mecanismos primários por trás da guerra diversionista: uma manipulação do efeito Rally Round the Flag Syndrome, causando um aumento do fervor nacional por parte do público em geral, e "aposta na ressurreição", em que um líder em uma situação doméstica perigosa toma decisões de política externa de alto risco com pequena chance de sucesso, mas com uma alta recompensa se forecesso, mas com uma alta recompensa se fore
, A diversionary foreign policy, or a divers … A diversionary foreign policy, or a diversionary war, is an international relations term that identifies a war instigated by a country's leader in order to distract its population from their own domestic strife. The concept stems from the Diversionary War Theory, which states that leaders who are threatened by domestic turmoil may initiate an international conflict in order to improve their standing. There are two primary mechanisms behind diversionary war: a manipulation of the Rally Round the Flag Syndrome effect, causing an increase of national fervor from the general public, and "gambling on resurrection", whereby a leader in a perilous domestic situation takes high-risk foreign policy decisions with small chance of success but with a high reward if successful.cess but with a high reward if successful.
, Отвлекающая война (англ. diversionary war, … Отвлекающая война (англ. diversionary war, diversionary theory of war) в международных отношениях — теория, объясняющая агрессивную внешнюю политику или даже вовлечение в военные действия стремлением «отвлечь» внимание граждан страны от внутренней политической повестки в неблагоприятной для политических лидеров ситуации или улучшить своё политическое положение за счёт эффекта сплочения. Для обозначения внешней политики, объясняющейся сходной мотивацией, используется более широкий термин отвлекающая внешняя политика (англ. diversionary foreign policy).итика (англ. diversionary foreign policy).
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Política externa diversionista
, Отвлекающая война
, Diversionary foreign policy
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